Craps probability of winning
Explains in detail the probability of winning in a game of craps. Includes a list of the totals on the dice and your chances of hitting. The dice game craps is played as follows: The player throws 2 dice, and if the sum is 7 or 11, he/she wins. If the sum is 2, 3, or 12, he/she loses. If the sum is. One question I get asked a lot is "what is the probability of a shooter lasting x rolls in craps?" Winning Craps for the Serious Player by J. Edward Allen;.
Theoretical Probability of Winning Craps
Because of the come bet, if the shooter makes their point, a player can find themselves in the situation where they still have a come bet possibly with odds on it and the next roll is a come-out roll. If the come-out roll is 7 or 11, the bet loses. An older term for eleven is "six five, no jive" because it is a winning roll. One of the two bets will always lose, the other may win. Other names for a five are "fever" and "little Phoebe". Las Vegas casinos which allow put betting allows players to move the Don't Come directly to any Come point as a put, however this is not allowed in Atlantic City or Pennsylvania.
Using Probability to Calculate the Odds in the Game of Craps
Boxcars or Midnight There are many local variants of the calls made by the stickman for rolls during a craps game. These often incorporate a reminder to the dealers as to which bets to pay or collect. Two is "snake eyes", because the two ones that compose it look like a pair of small, beady eyes. Another name for the two is "loose deuce". Three is typically called as "three craps three" during the comeout roll, or "three, ace deuce, come away single" when not on the comeout to signify the come bet has been lost and to pay single to any field bettors.
Three may also be referred to as "ace caught a deuce", or even less often "acey deucey". A hard four can be called a "ballerina" because it is two-two " tutu ". Five is often called "no field five" in casinos in which five is not one of the field rolls and thus not paid in the field bets. Other names for a five are "fever" and "little Phoebe".
Six may be referred to as "Jimmie Hicks" or "Jimmie Hicks from the sticks", examples of rhyming slang. On a win, the six is often called " winner 6" followed by "came hard" or "came easy".
Seven rolled as is sometimes called "six ace" or "up pops the Devil". Older dealers and players may use the term "Big Red" because craps tables once prominently featured a large red "7" in the center of the layout for the one-roll seven bet. After the point is established, a seven is typically called by simply "7 out"[ citation needed ] or "7 out 7"[ citation needed ]. Eight rolled the hard way, as opposed to an "easy eight" is sometimes called an "eighter from Decatur ".
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Probability Theoretical Probability of Winning Craps The game of craps is unique in a couple of ways. For one thing, the game offers some of the best bets in the casino. For another, it also offers some of the worst bets at the same time. Most casino games either have a high house edge or a low house edge ; craps has both.
In all other casino games, the only event that you can bet on is the one that happens. Both of these make for interesting uses of probability in analyzing the game. Possible Totals and Their Probabilities In craps, there are only 12 possible totals, but the probabilities of the various totals vary significantly. This is calculated by multiplying the odds of getting a 1 on the first die with the probability of getting a 1 on the second die.
As a math problem, it looks like this: The first is to get a 1 on the first die and a 2 on the second die, and the second is to get a 2 on the first die and a 1 on the second die.
You can get a 1 on the first die and 3 on the second. You could also get a 3 on the first die and a 1on on the second. Or you could get a 2 on both dice. There are 6 ways to get a total of 7: The rest of the totals correspond accordingly. A total of 8 has the same probability as a total of 6.
A total of 9 has the same probability as a total of 5. A total of 10 has the same probability as a total of 4. A total of 11 has the same probability as a total of 3, and a total of 12 is exactly as likely as a total of 2. Expressing these Probabilities Expressing a probability as a fraction is just one way to express it. Another way is to express a probability as a decimal.
Hello Jerry, I do not know how to program and I am looking for someone to write a betting script for me for the Smart Craps simulator with a strategy that I am working on. I'm a stalker of the different sites as there is so much info and hard to tell what is worth anything. I came up with this strategy and I like the idea that you can win at least something on every roll of the dice, and I'm just trying to tweak the amount and bets to hedge based on percentages.
I have been trying out my strategy with simulated games and have seemed to do fairly well. While I know the games are not fair, I think my system reduces the house edge enough to make a profit on the small scale. So basically I would want the script to run until my bankroll was gone or that I doubled my bankroll.
It's a fairly straight forward hedging strategy where nothing changes, the come out roll the bets are always the same, with some place bets with the field and both the pass and don't pass but at different amounts with full odds. When I play the simulated games I always come out ahead. I always have a field bet.
I place 5, 6, and 8 every time regardless of the point, the point does not matter to me. I always collect winnings. On paper it has worked out on average. The concern is having enough bankroll to endure 4 or potentially more losses in a roll. To me a "loss" is the point being hit. If the point is hit, I lose money overall. You will certainly keep the dealers busy. I have written many betting scripts for Smart Craps and could write one for your system. However, I can save you a lot of time and expense, Jared.
I have simulated several hedge bet systems including the Iron Cross which a portion of your system uses as well as progression betting systems and the results are ALWAYS the same as the math dictates. While the average hand in about 8. Here will be times when you win and there will be time when you lose but you will end up losing more than you win.